| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 58.1% | 43% | +14.6% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 40.9% | 59.1% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 39.3% | 60.7% |
| logistic | 49.9% | 50.1% |
| Patrick Zahraj | Karl Poling | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1426 | 1459 |
| Surface Elo | 1426 | 1459 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.33 |
| Rest days | 5 | 4 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 21 Sep | A | Murphy Cassone | 0 - 2 | L |
| 20 Sep | H | Mathys Erhard | 2 - 1 | W |
| 24 Aug | A | Patrick Brady | 0 - 2 | L |
| 17 Aug | A | Mika Brunold | 0 - 2 | L |
| 06 Jul | A | Maxim Zhukov | 1 - 2 | L |
| 22 Sep | A | Titouan Droguet | 1 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | A | Moez Echargui | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | H | Titouan Droguet | 1 - 2 | L |
| 20 Sep | A | Yanis Ghazouani Durand | 2 - 0 | W |
| 24 Aug | H | Thomas Fancutt | 0 - 2 | L |
| 11 Nov 2024 | Karl Poling | 0 - 2 | Patrick Zahraj |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.30 | 43.5% | 27 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.57 | 63.7% | 27 Sep 06:15 |