| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 65.1% | 85% | -19.7% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 20.9% | 79.0% |
| logistic | 52.0% | 48.0% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Samir Hamza Reguig | Luca Wiedenmann | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1515 | 1496 |
| Surface Elo | 1515 | 1496 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 2.25 | 2.25 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.75 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.50 | 0.75 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 15 Oct | H | Kaan Isik Kosaner | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep | A | Benoit Torcq | 2 - 0 | W |
| 24 Sep | H | Romain Faucon | 1 - 2 | L |
| 23 Sep | H | Patel, Darsh Sachin | 2 - 0 | W |
| 07 Sep | A | Jay Friend | 0 - 2 | L |
| 15 Oct | A | Kris Van Wyk | 2 - 0 | W |
| 09 Oct | A | John Echeverria | 0 - 2 | L |
| 08 Oct | A | Isaac Nortey | 2 - 0 | W |
| 06 Oct | A | Andrea Colombo | 2 - 1 | W |
| 21 Sep | H | Yanaki Milev | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.18 | 84.8% | 16 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 4.25 | 23.5% | 16 Oct 06:15 |