| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 63.9% | 80% | -16.0% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 58.3% | 41.7% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 77.6% | 22.4% |
| logistic | 60.7% | 39.3% |
| Philip Henning | Robin Catry | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1529 | 1425 |
| Surface Elo | 1529 | 1425 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.90 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 7 | 9 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 14 Oct | A | Dominic Stricker | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Dominic Stricker | 0 - 2 | L |
| 08 Oct | H | Borna Gojo | 0 - 2 | L |
| 06 Oct | H | Maks Kasnikowski | 1 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct | H | Ivan Marrero Curbelo | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Norbert Gombos | 1 - 2 | L |
| 11 Oct | A | Gabriel Gomez | 1 - 0 | W |
| 06 Jul | H | Yi Zhou | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Mar | A | Beibit Zhukayev | 1 - 2 | L |
| 23 Mar | H | Tristan Schoolkate | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.10 | 32.3% | 21 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.32 | 75.8% | 21 Oct 06:15 |