OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-17
⚽ England League One · Saturday 17 October 2026, 14:00 UTC · finished
Wigan 0.80 1 - 0 1.60 Reading
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Away win 50.0%49%+1.2%✗ miss
DCHome or away 76.4%77%-1.0%✓ hit
DNBAway (DNB) 64.9%66%-0.9%✗ miss
O/U 2.5Under 2.5 53.5%47%+7.0%✓ hit
BTTSBTTS yes 53.0%no line✗ miss
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson31.9%28.4%39.7%
xgboost27.3%21.0%51.7%
logistic23.3%27.6%49.1%
Inputs the models saw
WiganReading
Elo (pre-match)14051535
Surface Elo14051535
Form, last 5 (PPG)0.801.60
Form trend0.60-0.40
Season points per game0.002.00
Season goals for / game0.002.50
Season goals against / game1.001.00
Rest days77
Head-to-head (last 10)2 W7 W · 1 D
Wigan: last 5
10 OctAStevenage0 - 1L
10 OctAStevenage0 - 1L
22 SepHBlackpool3 - 2W
19 SepHWycombe0 - 1L
19 SepHWycombe0 - 1L
Reading: last 5
13 OctHChelsea0 - 2L
10 OctAMilton Keynes Dons5 - 1W
10 OctAMilton Keynes Dons5 - 1W
09 OctHNorwich2 - 3L
03 OctHBradford1 - 1D
Head to head
28 Mar 2026Reading3 - 0Wigan
10 Feb 2026Wigan1 - 2Reading
01 Mar 2025Wigan1 - 2Reading
17 Aug 2024Reading2 - 0Wigan
20 Jan 2024Wigan1 - 0Reading
23 Dec 2023Reading2 - 0Wigan
29 Apr 2023Reading1 - 1Wigan
17 Sep 2022Wigan0 - 1Reading
26 Feb 2020Reading0 - 3Wigan
30 Nov 2019Wigan1 - 3Reading
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away2.0548.8%16 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.7027.0%16 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home3.5028.6%16 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.6759.9%16 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under2.1546.5%16 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 18:15 UTC