| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 69.7% | 91% | -21.2% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 69.4% | 30.6% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 85.1% | 14.9% |
| logistic | 64.4% | 35.6% |
| Jenson Brooksby | Mitchell Krueger | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1743 | 1617 |
| Surface Elo | 1743 | 1617 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.88 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.25 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.13 |
| Rest days | 10 | 16 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 19 Oct | A | Darwin Blanch | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Gabriel Debru | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Patrick Maloney | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Timo Legout | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Mitchell Krueger | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Jenson Brooksby | 1 - 2 | L |
| 03 Oct | A | Abdullah Shelbayh | 0 - 2 | L |
| 02 Oct | H | Keegan Smith | 2 - 0 | W |
| 01 Oct | A | Stefan Kozlov | 2 - 1 | W |
| 28 Sep | A | Tyler Zink | 1 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct 2026 | Jenson Brooksby | 2 - 1 | Mitchell Krueger |
| 24 Jan 2022 | Jenson Brooksby | 2 - 1 | Mitchell Krueger |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 6.10 | 16.4% | 19 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.10 | 90.9% | 19 Oct 06:15 |