| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 75.9% | 89% | -13.3% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 64.2% | 35.8% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 91.7% | 8.3% |
| logistic | 63.4% | 36.6% |
| Michael Zheng | Yanki Erel | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1739 | 1536 |
| Surface Elo | 1739 | 1536 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 2.40 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 29 Sep | H | Yaojie Zeng | 2 - 0 | W |
| 29 Sep | H | Yanki Erel | 0 - 2 | L |
| 29 Sep | H | Yaojie Zeng | 2 - 0 | W |
| 24 Sep | A | Bu Yunchaokete | 0 - 2 | L |
| 24 Sep | H | Yunchaokete Bu | 0 - 2 | L |
| 29 Sep | A | Arthur Weber | 2 - 0 | W |
| 29 Sep | A | Mattia Bellucci | 0 - 2 | L |
| 29 Sep | A | Federico Cina | 2 - 0 | W |
| 29 Sep | A | Michael Zheng | 2 - 0 | W |
| 29 Sep | A | Arthur Weber | 2 - 0 | W |
| 29 Sep 2026 | Michael Zheng | 0 - 2 | Yanki Erel |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 5.75 | 17.4% | 30 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.12 | 89.3% | 30 Sep 06:15 |