| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 52.8% | 64% | -10.8% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 49.2% | 50.8% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 45.5% | 54.4% |
| logistic | 49.7% | 50.3% |
| Lucas Poullain | Remy Bertola | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1577 | 1589 |
| Surface Elo | 1577 | 1589 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 0.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 29 Sep | A | Mark Lajal | 2 - 1 | W |
| 28 Sep | A | Joel Schwaerzler | 0 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | H | Remy Bertola | 2 - 1 | W |
| 28 Sep | H | Mark Lajal | 2 - 1 | W |
| 16 Sep | H | Clement Chidekh | 0 - 2 | L |
| 29 Sep | A | Alexandre Reco | 1 - 0 | W |
| 28 Sep | A | Lucas Poullain | 1 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | A | Alexandre Reco | 2 - 0 | W |
| 22 Sep | H | Jesper De Jong | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | A | Jesper De Jong | 0 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep 2026 | Lucas Poullain | 2 - 1 | Remy Bertola |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.57 | 63.7% | 30 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.30 | 43.5% | 30 Sep 06:15 |