OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-09
⚽ Portugal Liga Portugal · Friday 09 October 2026, 17:45 UTC · finished
Moreirense 1.40 0 - 1 1.00 Gil Vicente
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Away win 47.1%44%+3.3%✓ hit
DCHome or away 73.3%73%+0.6%✓ hit
DNBAway (DNB) 60.3%62%-2.1%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Under 2.5 56.3%61%-4.5%✓ hit
BTTSBTTS no 54.1%no line✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson35.6%29.7%34.6%
xgboost31.0%32.4%36.5%
logistic32.3%29.6%38.1%
Inputs the models saw
MoreirenseGil Vicente
Elo (pre-match)15131516
Surface Elo15131516
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.401.00
Form trend0.100.50
Season points per game1.001.00
Season goals for / game1.001.00
Season goals against / game1.001.00
Rest days1920
Head-to-head (last 10)4 W3 W · 3 D
Moreirense: last 5
20 SepAGuimaraes1 - 1D
20 SepAGuimaraes1 - 1D
14 SepHMaritimo3 - 1W
09 SepHBenfica0 - 4L
04 SepAPorto1 - 2L
Gil Vicente: last 5
19 SepHMaritimo1 - 1D
19 SepHMaritimo1 - 1D
13 SepABenfica1 - 3L
06 SepHAcademico Viseu0 - 1L
30 AugAFamalicao0 - 0D
Head to head
07 Feb 2026Moreirense1 - 2Gil Vicente
29 Aug 2025Gil Vicente2 - 0Moreirense
06 Apr 2025Gil Vicente0 - 1Moreirense
08 Nov 2024Moreirense3 - 2Gil Vicente
20 Apr 2024Moreirense0 - 1Gil Vicente
11 Dec 2023Gil Vicente1 - 1Moreirense
08 Apr 2022Gil Vicente1 - 2Moreirense
26 Nov 2021Moreirense2 - 2Gil Vicente
11 Apr 2021Gil Vicente1 - 2Moreirense
05 Dec 2020Moreirense1 - 1Gil Vicente
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away2.2544.4%09 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.3030.3%09 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home3.5528.2%09 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over2.2544.4%09 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under1.6759.9%09 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 17:10 UTC