| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 63.9% | 72% | -8.1% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 51.3% | 48.7% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 67.0% | 33.0% |
| logistic | 63.4% | 36.6% |
| Pedro Vives Marcos | Max Wiskandt | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1537 | 1441 |
| Surface Elo | 1537 | 1441 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | -0.90 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 2.40 | 1.20 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 13 Oct | A | Marco Cecchinato | 1 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Sebastian Gima | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Max Wiskandt | 1 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Marco Cecchinato | 2 - 0 | W |
| 11 Oct | A | Radu David Turcanu | 2 - 0 | W |
| 13 Oct | H | Miguel Damas | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Massimo Giunta | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | H | Pedro Vives Marcos | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Miguel Damas | 2 - 1 | W |
| 06 Oct | A | Carlo Alberto Caniato | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct 2026 | Max Wiskandt | 2 - 1 | Pedro Vives Marcos |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.85 | 35.1% | 15 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.39 | 71.9% | 15 Oct 06:15 |