| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 63.7% | 61% | +3.1% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 61.2% | 38.7% |
| logistic | 61.4% | 38.6% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Florent Bax | Jack Loge | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1603 | 1514 |
| Surface Elo | 1603 | 1514 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 2.63 | 2.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.75 | 1.33 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.38 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 16 Oct | H | Allan Gatoto | 2 - 0 | W |
| 15 Oct | H | Ruslan Serazhetdinov | 2 - 0 | W |
| 09 Oct | A | Dev Javia | 1 - 2 | L |
| 08 Oct | A | Claude Ishimwe | 2 - 0 | W |
| 07 Oct | A | Anup Bangargi | 2 - 0 | W |
| 16 Oct | A | Larue, Louis | 2 - 0 | W |
| 15 Oct | A | Yash Chaurasia | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Oct | A | Tuncay Duran | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | A | Renaud Lefevre | 2 - 1 | W |
| 03 Aug | A | Franco Agamenone | 1 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.12 | 47.2% | 17 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.65 | 60.6% | 17 Oct 06:15 |