| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 65.3% | 84% | -18.7% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.6% | 35.0% |
| xgboost | 32.2% | 67.7% |
| logistic | 24.7% | 75.3% |
| Michele Ribecai | Titouan Droguet | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1541 | 1840 |
| Surface Elo | 1541 | 1840 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 3.00 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 9 | 9 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 14 Sep | H | Titouan Droguet | 0 - 2 | L |
| 07 Sep | A | Jay Friend | 1 - 2 | L |
| 01 Sep | A | Jack Pinnington Jones | 0 - 2 | L |
| 01 Sep | H | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg | 2 - 1 | W |
| 24 Aug | A | George Loffhagen | 0 - 2 | L |
| 14 Sep | A | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg | 2 - 0 | W |
| 14 Sep | A | Borna Gojo | 2 - 1 | W |
| 14 Sep | A | Daniel Rincon | 2 - 1 | W |
| 14 Sep | A | Michele Ribecai | 2 - 0 | W |
| 07 Sep | A | Mark Lajal | 2 - 0 | W |
| 14 Sep 2026 | Michele Ribecai | 0 - 2 | Titouan Droguet |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.18 | 84.8% | 16 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 4.45 | 22.5% | 16 Sep 06:15 |