| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 42.0% | 49% | -6.8% | |
| DC | Home or away | 71.8% | 81% | -9.2% | |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 57.9% | 66% | -7.6% | |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.5% | 63% | -10.8% | |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 52.0% | no line |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 31.1% | 28.7% | 40.2% |
| xgboost | 25.7% | 33.6% | 40.7% |
| logistic | 34.2% | 26.1% | 39.7% |
| Kelty Hearts | Stranraer | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1375 | 1462 |
| Surface Elo | 1375 | 1462 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 2.20 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.20 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 2.33 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.33 | 2.67 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.33 | 0.33 |
| Rest days | 7 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 4 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 07 Nov | A | Annan Athletic | 2 - 1 | W |
| 07 Nov | A | Annan Athletic | 2 - 1 | W |
| 03 Nov | A | Morton | 1 - 0 | W |
| 31 Oct | H | Elgin | 0 - 1 | L |
| 31 Oct | H | Elgin | 0 - 1 | L |
| 07 Nov | H | Stirling | 3 - 0 | W |
| 07 Nov | H | Stirling | 3 - 0 | W |
| 31 Oct | H | Clyde | 0 - 0 | D |
| 31 Oct | H | Clyde | 0 - 0 | D |
| 17 Oct | A | Spartans | 2 - 0 | W |
| 29 Aug 2026 | Stranraer | 2 - 0 | Kelty Hearts |
| 16 Apr 2022 | Stranraer | 0 - 3 | Kelty Hearts |
| 29 Jan 2022 | Kelty Hearts | 3 - 2 | Stranraer |
| 18 Dec 2021 | Stranraer | 0 - 4 | Kelty Hearts |
| 25 Sep 2021 | Kelty Hearts | 1 - 0 | Stranraer |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.05 | 48.8% | 12 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.60 | 27.8% | 12 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.10 | 32.3% | 12 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.58 | 63.3% | 12 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.25 | 44.4% | 12 Nov 06:15 |