| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 72.1% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 21.9% | 78.1% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 24.9% | 75.0% |
| logistic | 28.1% | 71.9% |
| Arthur Fery | Lorenzo Musetti | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1802 | 2030 |
| Surface Elo | 1802 | 2030 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 3.00 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 2.57 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.71 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 0.57 |
| Rest days | 2 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 26 Oct | H | Jacob Fearnley | 1 - 0 | W |
| 20 Oct | H | Borna Gojo | 0 - 2 | L |
| 09 Oct | A | Karen Khachanov | 1 - 2 | L |
| 07 Oct | H | Marin Cilic | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Aug | H | Ignacio Buse | 0 - 2 | L |
| 28 Oct | H | Frances Tiafoe | 1 - 0 | W |
| 25 Oct | H | Taylor Fritz | 2 - 0 | W |
| 25 Oct | H | Taylor Fritz | 2 - 0 | W |
| 24 Oct | A | Flavio Cobolli | 2 - 1 | W |
| 24 Oct | A | Flavio Cobolli | 2 - 1 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No bookmaker lines stored. | |||||