OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge

Back to 🎾 Tennis on 2026-10-07

🎾 tennis_atp_shanghai_masters · Wednesday 07 October 2026, 11:10 UTC · scheduled

Arthur Fery 2.40 11:10 0.60 Marin Cilic

Our markets (latest run)

Market	Most likely	Model	Bookmaker	Edge	Result
1X2	Home win	55.3%	62%	-7.2%

Model breakdown (1X2)

Model	Home	Away
poisson	37.1%	35.2%
xgboost	58.7%	41.2%
logistic	50.5%	49.5%
markov	abstained: unknown match format (best_of=0)

Inputs the models saw

	Arthur Fery	Marin Cilic
Elo (pre-match)	1802	1800
Surface Elo	1802	1800
Form, last 5 (PPG)	2.40	0.60
Form trend	0.60	0.00
Season points per game	1.50	1.50
Season goals for / game	1.50	1.50
Season goals against / game	1.50	1.50
Rest days	38	53
Head-to-head (last 10)	0 W	0 W · 0 D

Arthur Fery: last 5

30 Aug	H	Ignacio Buse	0 - 2	L
29 Aug	H	James Duckworth	1 - 0	W
28 Aug	A	Aleksandar Kovacevic	2 - 1	W
27 Aug	H	Mees Rottgering	2 - 0	W
26 Aug	H	Cruz Hewitt	2 - 0	W

Marin Cilic: last 5

07 Oct	A	Dillon Beckles	0 - 2	L
15 Aug	A	Daniel Merida	1 - 2	L
05 Aug	A	Frances Tiafoe	1 - 2	L
04 Aug	H	Sho Shimabukuro	2 - 0	W
29 Jun	A	Daniil Medvedev	0 - 3	L

Head to head

No previous meetings in our data.

Bookmaker lines

Book	Market	Outcome	Odds	Implied	As of
1xBet	h2h	Arthur Fery	1.62	61.7%	07 Oct 06:00
1xBet	h2h	Marin Cilic	2.35	42.5%	07 Oct 06:00
888sport	h2h	Arthur Fery	1.61	62.1%	07 Oct 06:00
888sport	h2h	Marin Cilic	2.30	43.5%	07 Oct 06:00
Betfair sharp	h2h	Arthur Fery	1.64	61.0%	07 Oct 06:00
Betfair sharp	h2h	Marin Cilic	2.50	40.0%	07 Oct 06:00
Betfair sharp	h2h_lay	Arthur Fery	1.66	60.2%	07 Oct 06:00
Betfair sharp	h2h_lay	Marin Cilic	2.54	39.4%	07 Oct 06:00
BetOnline.ag	h2h	Arthur Fery	1.62	61.7%	07 Oct 06:00
BetOnline.ag	h2h	Marin Cilic	2.40	41.7%	07 Oct 06:00
Betsson	h2h	Arthur Fery	1.59	62.9%	07 Oct 06:00
Betsson	h2h	Marin Cilic	2.38	42.0%	07 Oct 06:00
Coolbet	h2h	Arthur Fery	1.61	62.1%	07 Oct 06:00
Coolbet	h2h	Marin Cilic	2.33	42.9%	07 Oct 06:00
GTbets	h2h	Arthur Fery	1.56	64.1%	07 Oct 06:00
GTbets	h2h	Marin Cilic	2.41	41.5%	07 Oct 06:00
LeoVegas (SE)	h2h	Arthur Fery	1.60	62.5%	07 Oct 06:00
LeoVegas (SE)	h2h	Marin Cilic	2.33	42.9%	07 Oct 06:00
Matchbook	h2h	Arthur Fery	1.65	60.6%	07 Oct 06:00
Matchbook	h2h	Marin Cilic	2.50	40.0%	07 Oct 06:00
Matchbook	h2h_lay	Arthur Fery	1.66	60.2%	07 Oct 06:00
Matchbook	h2h_lay	Marin Cilic	2.54	39.4%	07 Oct 06:00
Nordic Bet	h2h	Arthur Fery	1.59	62.9%	07 Oct 06:00
Nordic Bet	h2h	Marin Cilic	2.38	42.0%	07 Oct 06:00
Pinnacle sharp	h2h	Arthur Fery	1.61	62.1%	07 Oct 06:00
Pinnacle sharp	h2h	Marin Cilic	2.44	41.0%	07 Oct 06:00
PMU (FR)	h2h	Arthur Fery	1.54	64.9%	07 Oct 06:00
PMU (FR)	h2h	Marin Cilic	2.23	44.8%	07 Oct 06:00
SportyBet	1X2	away	2.40	41.7%	07 Oct 06:15
SportyBet	1X2	home	1.60	62.5%	07 Oct 06:15
Tipico	h2h	Arthur Fery	1.50	66.7%	07 Oct 06:00
Tipico	h2h	Marin Cilic	2.40	41.7%	07 Oct 06:00
Unibet (FR)	h2h	Arthur Fery	1.53	65.4%	07 Oct 06:00
Unibet (FR)	h2h	Marin Cilic	2.45	40.8%	07 Oct 06:00
Unibet (NL)	h2h	Arthur Fery	1.60	62.5%	07 Oct 06:00
Unibet (NL)	h2h	Marin Cilic	2.33	42.9%	07 Oct 06:00
Unibet (SE)	h2h	Arthur Fery	1.60	62.5%	07 Oct 06:00
Unibet (SE)	h2h	Marin Cilic	2.33	42.9%	07 Oct 06:00
William Hill	h2h	Arthur Fery	1.62	61.7%	07 Oct 06:00
William Hill	h2h	Marin Cilic	2.30	43.5%	07 Oct 06:00
Winamax (DE)	h2h	Arthur Fery	1.60	62.5%	07 Oct 06:00
Winamax (DE)	h2h	Marin Cilic	2.40	41.7%	07 Oct 06:00
Winamax (FR)	h2h	Arthur Fery	1.58	63.3%	07 Oct 06:00
Winamax (FR)	h2h	Marin Cilic	2.35	42.5%	07 Oct 06:00

Generated 2026-10-30 18:20 UTC