| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 41.2% | 30% | +10.8% | |
| DC | Home or away | 71.5% | 77% | -5.9% | |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 54.3% | 43% | +10.9% | |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 60.7% | 68% | -6.9% | |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 57.4% | no line |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 28.0% | 30.3% | 41.7% |
| xgboost | 34.8% | 31.0% | 34.2% |
| logistic | 34.9% | 32.5% | 32.6% |
| Ferrol | Ponferradina | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1318 | 1442 |
| Surface Elo | 1318 | 1442 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| Form trend | 0.10 | -0.40 |
| Season points per game | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| Rest days | 518 | 1252 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 24 Oct | A | Mirandes | 0 - 2 | L |
| 17 Oct | H | Unionistas de Salamanca CF | 1 - 0 | W |
| 03 Oct | H | Pontevedra CF | 2 - 0 | W |
| 26 Sep | A | Lugo | 0 - 1 | L |
| 19 Sep | H | Barakaldo CF | 1 - 0 | W |
| 27 Oct | A | UD Llanera | 1 - 1 | D |
| 17 Oct | A | Zamora CF | 1 - 1 | D |
| 11 Oct | H | Real Aviles CF | 0 - 2 | L |
| 04 Oct | H | Mirandes | 1 - 0 | W |
| 27 Sep | A | Pontevedra CF | 1 - 1 | D |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.40 | 29.4% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.00 | 33.3% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.10 | 47.6% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 2.35 | 42.5% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.50 | 66.7% | 30 Oct 06:15 |