| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 61.8% | 74% | -11.7% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 42.0% | 58.0% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 27.0% | 72.9% |
| logistic | 40.4% | 59.6% |
| Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | Gonzalo Bueno | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1493 | 1602 |
| Surface Elo | 1493 | 1602 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | -0.90 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 20 Oct | A | Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Sergio Luis Hernandez Ramirez | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Gustavo Heide | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | A | Gonzalo Bueno | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Hernan Casanova | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | H | Hernan Casanova | 2 - 1 | W |
| 13 Oct | H | Maximo Zeitune | 0 - 1 | L |
| 12 Oct | H | Maximo Zeitune | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct 2026 | Gonzalo Bueno | 1 - 2 | Santiago Rodriguez Taverna |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.36 | 73.5% | 21 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.00 | 33.3% | 21 Oct 06:15 |