| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 54.7% | 64% | -9.4% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 57.1% | 42.9% |
| logistic | 51.6% | 48.4% |
| Aidan Mayo | Ryan Seggerman | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1530 | 1545 |
| Surface Elo | 1530 | 1545 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 3.00 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 22 | 92 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 14 Sep | H | Ryan Seggerman | 1 - 2 | L |
| 24 Aug | H | Andy Andrade | 2 - 0 | W |
| 24 Aug | H | Luis "Guto" Miguel | 2 - 0 | W |
| 24 Aug | H | Andres Martin | 2 - 0 | W |
| 24 Aug | H | Benjamin Willwerth | 2 - 1 | W |
| 14 Sep | A | Mitchell Krueger | 1 - 2 | L |
| 14 Sep | A | Aidan Mayo | 2 - 1 | W |
| 15 Jun | A | Laslo Djere | 1 - 2 | L |
| 15 Jun | A | Luca Wiedenmann | 2 - 0 | W |
| 04 May | A | Facundo Diaz Acosta | 0 - 2 | L |
| 14 Sep 2026 | Aidan Mayo | 1 - 2 | Ryan Seggerman |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.35 | 42.5% | 15 Sep 09:05 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.56 | 64.1% | 15 Sep 09:05 |