| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 58.4% | 56% | +2.4% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 39.6% | 60.4% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 42.3% | 57.5% |
| logistic | 50.1% | 49.9% |
| Lorenzo Sonego | Quentin Halys | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1745 | 1855 |
| Surface Elo | 1745 | 1855 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.90 |
| Season points per game | 1.80 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.30 | 1.40 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.10 | 1.20 |
| Rest days | 2 | 5 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 08 Nov | A | Inaki Montes De La Torre | 2 - 0 | W |
| 07 Nov | A | Olle Wallin | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Nov | A | Mattia Bellucci | 0 - 2 | L |
| 02 Nov | H | Mattia Bellucci | 0 - 2 | L |
| 01 Nov | A | Adolfo Daniel Vallejo | 2 - 1 | W |
| 05 Nov | A | Tommy Paul | 0 - 2 | L |
| 05 Nov | H | Tommy Paul | 0 - 2 | L |
| 04 Nov | H | Frances Tiafoe | 2 - 1 | W |
| 04 Nov | A | Frances Tiafoe | 2 - 1 | W |
| 03 Nov | H | Arthur Fery | 2 - 0 | W |
| 09 Jun 2025 | Lorenzo Sonego | 1 - 2 | Quentin Halys |
| 17 Apr 2023 | Lorenzo Sonego | 2 - 1 | Quentin Halys |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.83 | 54.6% | 10 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.00 | 50.0% | 10 Nov 06:15 |