| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 55.4% | 48% | +7.8% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 58.6% | 41.4% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 48.3% | 51.7% |
| logistic | 58.9% | 41.1% |
| Jan Lennard Struff | Tallon Griekspoor | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1873 | 1810 |
| Surface Elo | 1873 | 1810 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 2.25 | 1.71 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.63 | 1.29 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.63 | 1.29 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 2 W · 0 D |
| 24 Oct | A | Arthur Fils | 2 - 1 | W |
| 23 Oct | H | Zizou Bergs | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Oct | A | Gauthier Onclin | 2 - 0 | W |
| 20 Oct | H | Marcos Giron | 2 - 0 | W |
| 10 Oct | A | Daniil Medvedev | 1 - 2 | L |
| 25 Oct | A | Rodrigo Alujas | 2 - 1 | W |
| 24 Oct | A | Francisco Cerundolo | 2 - 1 | W |
| 24 Oct | A | Francisco Cerundolo | 2 - 1 | W |
| 23 Oct | H | Jiri Lehecka | 2 - 1 | W |
| 23 Oct | A | Jiri Lehecka | 2 - 1 | W |
| 17 Feb 2025 | Jan Lennard Struff | 0 - 2 | Tallon Griekspoor |
| 30 Aug 2021 | Jan Lennard Struff | 2 - 3 | Tallon Griekspoor |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.78 | 56.2% | 25 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.10 | 47.6% | 25 Oct 06:15 |