OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-25
⚽ Greek Super League · Sunday 25 October 2026, 17:30 UTC · finished
Aris 1.40 3 - 1 0.40 Atromitos
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 56.6%61%-4.2%✓ hit
DCHome or draw 83.1%87%-3.8%✓ hit
DNBHome (DNB) 76.3%81%-4.4%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Under 2.5 51.0%55%-3.6%✗ miss
BTTSBTTS yes 53.8%no line✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson46.6%31.1%22.4%
xgboost58.9%22.5%18.6%
logistic67.1%21.5%11.3%
Inputs the models saw
ArisAtromitos
Elo (pre-match)16421471
Surface Elo16421471
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.400.40
Form trend-0.900.10
Season points per game1.860.33
Season goals for / game1.430.83
Season goals against / game1.861.50
Rest days715
Head-to-head (last 10)5 W1 W · 4 D
Aris: last 5
25 OctHLevante3 - 0W
18 OctAKifisia2 - 1W
18 OctAKifisia2 - 1W
11 OctHVolos NPS3 - 2W
11 OctHVolos NFC3 - 2W
Atromitos: last 5
25 OctAPanachaiki 1891 FC0 - 5L
10 OctAAsteras Tripolis1 - 2L
10 OctAAsteras Tripolis1 - 2L
19 SepHKifisia1 - 2L
19 SepHKifisia1 - 2L
Head to head
07 Mar 2026Aris0 - 0Atromitos
13 Sep 2025Atromitos1 - 2Aris
26 Apr 2025Atromitos1 - 1Aris
13 Apr 2025Aris1 - 0Atromitos
07 Dec 2024Aris2 - 1Atromitos
18 Aug 2024Atromitos1 - 1Aris
17 Feb 2024Atromitos0 - 2Aris
05 Nov 2023Aris1 - 3Atromitos
26 Feb 2023Aris2 - 1Atromitos
05 Nov 2022Atromitos0 - 0Aris
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away5.5018.2%25 Oct 17:30
Bet3651X2draw3.8026.3%25 Oct 17:30
Bet3651X2home1.5763.7%25 Oct 17:30
Bet365O/U 2.5over1.9052.6%25 Oct 17:30
Bet365O/U 2.5under1.9052.6%25 Oct 17:30
SportyBet1X2away5.2019.2%25 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.9025.6%25 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home1.6859.5%25 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.9850.5%25 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under1.8055.6%25 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 15:53 UTC