OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-20
⚽ England League One · Tuesday 20 October 2026, 18:45 UTC · finished
Luton 0.80 2 - 1 0.20 Barnsley
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 52.3%65%-13.1%✓ hit
DCHome or draw 78.5%86%-7.7%✓ hit
DNBHome (DNB) 69.1%82%-12.4%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 58.1%71%-13.1%✓ hit
BTTSBTTS yes 54.4%no line✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson53.8%22.3%23.9%
xgboost51.5%25.9%22.7%
logistic50.7%26.5%22.8%
Inputs the models saw
LutonBarnsley
Elo (pre-match)15471429
Surface Elo15471429
Form, last 5 (PPG)0.800.20
Form trend-0.100.00
Season points per game1.000.33
Season goals for / game1.671.00
Season goals against / game1.332.00
Rest days33
Head-to-head (last 10)5 W3 W · 2 D
Luton: last 5
17 OctAMilton Keynes Dons1 - 2L
17 OctAMilton Keynes Dons1 - 2L
10 OctAWycombe4 - 1W
10 OctAWycombe4 - 1W
03 OctAColchester1 - 1D
Barnsley: last 5
17 OctHCambridge1 - 2L
17 OctHCambridge1 - 2L
10 OctAStockport1 - 3L
10 OctAStockport1 - 3L
06 OctAFleetwood Town1 - 4L
Head to head
25 Apr 2026Luton2 - 1Barnsley
22 Nov 2025Barnsley5 - 0Luton
08 Feb 2022Luton2 - 1Barnsley
17 Aug 2021Barnsley0 - 1Luton
05 Apr 2021Luton1 - 2Barnsley
12 Sep 2020Barnsley0 - 1Luton
07 Jul 2020Luton1 - 1Barnsley
24 Aug 2019Barnsley1 - 3Luton
01 Jan 2019Luton0 - 0Barnsley
13 Oct 2018Barnsley3 - 2Luton
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away5.2519.1%20 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw4.8020.8%20 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home1.5464.9%20 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.3971.9%20 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under2.9034.5%20 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 19:20 UTC