OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to 🎾 Tennis on 2026-10-12
🎾 ATP Shanghai, China Men Singles · Monday 12 October 2026, 11:10 UTC · finished
Tommy Paul 1.20 2 - 0 1.80 Valentin Vacherot
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 61.1%60%+1.6%✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeAway
markov59.5%40.5%
poisson37.1%35.2%
xgboost58.4%41.6%
logistic56.5%43.5%
Inputs the models saw
Tommy PaulValentin Vacherot
Elo (pre-match)19731890
Surface Elo19731890
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.201.80
Form trend0.000.30
Season points per game1.501.80
Season goals for / game1.001.20
Season goals against / game1.001.00
Rest days22
Head-to-head (last 10)0 W0 W · 0 D
Tommy Paul: last 5
12 OctHValentin Vacherot2 - 0W
10 OctHAdolfo Daniel Vallejo2 - 0W
10 OctAAdolfo Daniel Vallejo2 - 0W
30 SepAAlejandro Tabilo0 - 2L
30 SepAAlejandro Tabilo0 - 2L
Valentin Vacherot: last 5
12 OctATommy Paul0 - 2L
10 OctASebastian Baez2 - 0W
10 OctASebastian Baez2 - 0W
05 OctAJiri Lehecka0 - 2L
05 OctAJiri Lehecka0 - 2L
Head to head
12 Oct 2026Tommy Paul2 - 0Valentin Vacherot
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away2.2544.4%11 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home1.6859.5%11 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 19:21 UTC