| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 48.4% | 47% | +1.2% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or away | 76.9% | 80% | -2.8% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 61.8% | 64% | -2.0% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 55.4% | 49% | +6.6% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 50.4% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 46.1% | 24.4% | 29.5% |
| xgboost | 46.0% | 24.0% | 30.0% |
| logistic | 45.1% | 26.6% | 28.2% |
| Montrose | Peterhead | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1450 | 1376 |
| Surface Elo | 1450 | 1376 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.70 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.00 | 0.75 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.75 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.00 | 1.25 |
| Rest days | 7 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 6 W | 0 W · 4 D |
| 17 Oct | A | East Kilbride | 1 - 1 | D |
| 17 Oct | A | East Kilbride | 1 - 1 | D |
| 10 Oct | H | Ross County | 0 - 5 | L |
| 10 Oct | H | Ross County | 0 - 5 | L |
| 03 Oct | A | Airdrieonians FC | 0 - 1 | L |
| 17 Oct | H | Cove Rangers | 2 - 0 | W |
| 17 Oct | H | Cove Rangers | 2 - 0 | W |
| 10 Oct | H | Queen of the South FC | 0 - 1 | L |
| 10 Oct | H | Queen of Sth | 0 - 1 | L |
| 03 Oct | A | Hamilton | 1 - 2 | L |
| 05 Sep 2026 | Peterhead | 0 - 3 | Montrose |
| 21 Mar 2026 | Peterhead | 1 - 1 | Montrose |
| 10 Feb 2026 | Montrose | 1 - 1 | Peterhead |
| 15 Nov 2025 | Peterhead | 1 - 1 | Montrose |
| 30 Aug 2025 | Montrose | 2 - 1 | Peterhead |
| 15 Apr 2023 | Montrose | 2 - 1 | Peterhead |
| 02 Jan 2023 | Peterhead | 0 - 0 | Montrose |
| 05 Nov 2022 | Montrose | 3 - 0 | Peterhead |
| 03 Sep 2022 | Peterhead | 0 - 2 | Montrose |
| 12 Mar 2022 | Peterhead | 0 - 1 | Montrose |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.20 | 31.2% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.60 | 27.8% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.05 | 48.8% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.70 | 58.8% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.05 | 48.8% | 23 Oct 06:15 |