| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 50.8% | 42% | +8.5% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or draw | 79.0% | 72% | +7.2% | ✗ miss |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 69.2% | 59% | +10.0% | ✗ miss |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 56.0% | 55% | +0.8% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 51.5% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 44.5% | 28.2% | 27.4% |
| xgboost | 49.5% | 33.1% | 17.3% |
| logistic | 51.3% | 26.6% | 22.1% |
| Wrexham | West Brom | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1600 | 1523 |
| Surface Elo | 1600 | 1523 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Form trend | -0.20 | 0.90 |
| Season points per game | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 0.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 3 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 1 W · 1 D |
| 10 Oct | A | Derby | 1 - 1 | D |
| 10 Oct | A | Derby | 1 - 1 | D |
| 19 Sep | H | Southampton | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Sep | H | Southampton | 2 - 1 | W |
| 11 Sep | A | West Ham | 0 - 6 | L |
| 13 Oct | A | Sutton | 2 - 3 | L |
| 10 Oct | H | Birmingham | 0 - 1 | L |
| 10 Oct | H | Birmingham | 0 - 1 | L |
| 09 Oct | A | Ipswich Town U21 | 2 - 2 | D |
| 20 Sep | A | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 0 - 1 | L |
| 03 Apr 2026 | West Brom | 2 - 2 | Wrexham |
| 16 Aug 2025 | Wrexham | 2 - 3 | West Brom |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.19 | 31.4% | 13 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.41 | 29.3% | 13 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.36 | 42.4% | 13 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 2.05 | 48.8% | 13 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.81 | 55.2% | 13 Oct 06:15 |