| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 62.0% | 64% | -2.1% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 60.7% | 39.3% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 64.7% | 35.3% |
| logistic | 53.1% | 46.9% |
| Clement Chidekh | Henry Bernet | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1712 | 1642 |
| Surface Elo | 1712 | 1642 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 3.00 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 2.50 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.67 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.67 | 0.33 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 02 Oct | H | Harold Mayot | 2 - 1 | W |
| 01 Oct | H | Ugo Blanchet | 2 - 1 | W |
| 29 Sep | H | David Goffin | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Sep | H | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Sep | H | Henry Bernet | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Oct | H | Felix Balshaw | 2 - 1 | W |
| 01 Oct | H | Dominic Stricker | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep | A | Daniil Glinka | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Sep | A | Clement Chidekh | 0 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | A | Felix Balshaw | 2 - 1 | W |
| 28 Sep 2026 | Clement Chidekh | 2 - 0 | Henry Bernet |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.35 | 42.5% | 03 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.56 | 64.1% | 03 Oct 06:15 |