| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 51.5% | 48% | +3.6% |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 52.9% | 47.1% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 47.5% | 52.4% |
| logistic | 49.7% | 50.3% |
| Genaro Alberto Olivieri | Juan Pablo Varillas | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1637 | 1565 |
| Surface Elo | 1637 | 1565 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.33 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.21 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.07 | 1.11 |
| Rest days | 2 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 4 W 路 0 D |
| 10 Nov | A | Elmer Moller | 2 - 1 | W |
| 08 Nov | A | Juan Manuel La Serna | 0 - 1 | L |
| 07 Nov | A | Federico Coria | 2 - 1 | W |
| 06 Nov | A | Juan Bautista Torres | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Nov | A | Ignacio Monzon | 2 - 0 | W |
| 10 Nov | H | Barrios Vera, Marcelo Tomas | 2 - 1 | W |
| 03 Nov | A | Filip Misolic | 1 - 2 | L |
| 02 Nov | A | Filip Misolic | 1 - 2 | L |
| 27 Oct | H | Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez | 0 - 2 | L |
| 26 Oct | H | Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez | 0 - 2 | L |
| 03 Mar 2025 | Genaro Alberto Olivieri | 0 - 2 | Juan Pablo Varillas |
| 10 Oct 2022 | Genaro Alberto Olivieri | 1 - 2 | Juan Pablo Varillas |
| 28 Mar 2022 | Genaro Alberto Olivieri | 0 - 2 | Juan Pablo Varillas |
| 20 Sep 2021 | Genaro Alberto Olivieri | 0 - 2 | Juan Pablo Varillas |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.63 | 61.4% | 12 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.20 | 45.5% | 12 Nov 06:15 |