| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 71.4% | 81% | -9.9% | abandoned |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 61.3% | 38.7% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 84.8% | 15.1% |
| logistic | 59.3% | 40.7% |
| Grigor Dimitrov | Daniel Rincon | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1750 | 1635 |
| Surface Elo | 1750 | 1635 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.00 | 1.67 |
| Rest days | 5 | 6 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W 路 0 D |
| 22 Sep | H | Edas Butvilas | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | A | Edas Butvilas | 0 - 2 | L |
| 31 Aug | A | Alexei Popyrin | 1 - 3 | L |
| 14 Aug | H | Sebastian Baez | 1 - 2 | L |
| 15 Jul | H | Nuno Borges | 0 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | A | Dino Prizmic | 0 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | H | David Jorda Sanchis | 0 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | H | Laslo Djere | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Sep | H | Fausto Tabacco | 2 - 0 | W |
| 22 Sep | A | Dino Prizmic | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.90 | 25.6% | 28 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.23 | 81.3% | 28 Sep 06:15 |