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Back to 🎾 Tennis on 2026-10-04

🎾 tennis_atp_japan_open · Sunday 04 October 2026, 08:10 UTC · scheduled

Jiri Lehecka 2.40 08:10 1.80 Adolfo Daniel Vallejo

Our markets (latest run)

Market	Most likely	Model	Bookmaker	Edge	Result
1X2	Home win	68.5%	73%	-4.5%

Model breakdown (1X2)

Model	Home	Away
poisson	37.1%	35.2%
xgboost	78.7%	21.3%
logistic	65.7%	34.3%
markov	abstained: unknown match format (best_of=0)

Inputs the models saw

	Jiri Lehecka	Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Elo (pre-match)	1965	1798
Surface Elo	1965	1798
Form, last 5 (PPG)	2.40	1.80
Form trend	0.00	-0.90
Season points per game	1.50	1.50
Season goals for / game	1.50	1.50
Season goals against / game	1.50	1.50
Rest days	1	1
Head-to-head (last 10)	0 W	0 W · 0 D

Jiri Lehecka: last 5

04 Oct	A	Adolfo Daniel Vallejo	2 - 0	W
03 Oct	A	Ugo Humbert	2 - 1	W
03 Oct	H	Ugo Humbert	2 - 1	W
30 Sep	H	Zizou Bergs	2 - 1	W
30 Sep	H	Zizou Bergs	2 - 1	W

Adolfo Daniel Vallejo: last 5

04 Oct	H	Jiri Lehecka	0 - 2	L
03 Oct	A	Matteo Berrettini	2 - 0	W
03 Oct	H	Matteo Berrettini	2 - 0	W
01 Oct	H	Rafael Jodar	2 - 0	W
01 Oct	H	Rafael Jodar	2 - 0	W

Head to head

04 Oct 2026

Adolfo Daniel Vallejo

0 - 2

Jiri Lehecka

Bookmaker lines

Book	Market	Outcome	Odds	Implied	As of
888sport	h2h	Adolfo Daniel Vallejo	3.10	32.3%	04 Oct 06:01
888sport	h2h	Jiri Lehecka	1.36	73.5%	04 Oct 06:01
Betclic (FR)	h2h	Adolfo Daniel Vallejo	3.25	30.8%	04 Oct 06:01
Betclic (FR)	h2h	Jiri Lehecka	1.33	75.2%	04 Oct 06:01
Betfair sharp	h2h	Adolfo Daniel Vallejo	3.55	28.2%	04 Oct 06:01
Betfair sharp	h2h	Jiri Lehecka	1.38	72.5%	04 Oct 06:01
Betfair sharp	h2h_lay	Adolfo Daniel Vallejo	3.60	27.8%	04 Oct 06:01
Betfair sharp	h2h_lay	Jiri Lehecka	1.39	71.9%	04 Oct 06:01
BetOnline.ag	h2h	Adolfo Daniel Vallejo	3.37	29.7%	04 Oct 06:01
BetOnline.ag	h2h	Jiri Lehecka	1.34	74.6%	04 Oct 06:01
Betsson	h2h	Adolfo Daniel Vallejo	3.15	31.8%	04 Oct 06:01
Betsson	h2h	Jiri Lehecka	1.35	74.1%	04 Oct 06:01
Coolbet	h2h	Adolfo Daniel Vallejo	3.25	30.8%	04 Oct 06:01
Coolbet	h2h	Jiri Lehecka	1.35	74.1%	04 Oct 06:01
GTbets	h2h	Adolfo Daniel Vallejo	3.14	31.9%	04 Oct 06:01
GTbets	h2h	Jiri Lehecka	1.40	71.4%	04 Oct 06:01
Marathon Bet	h2h	Adolfo Daniel Vallejo	3.18	31.4%	04 Oct 06:01
Marathon Bet	h2h	Jiri Lehecka	1.35	74.1%	04 Oct 06:01
Matchbook	h2h	Adolfo Daniel Vallejo	3.55	28.2%	04 Oct 06:01
Matchbook	h2h	Jiri Lehecka	1.38	72.5%	04 Oct 06:01
Matchbook	h2h_lay	Adolfo Daniel Vallejo	3.60	27.8%	04 Oct 06:01
Matchbook	h2h_lay	Jiri Lehecka	1.39	71.9%	04 Oct 06:01
Nordic Bet	h2h	Adolfo Daniel Vallejo	3.15	31.8%	04 Oct 06:01
Nordic Bet	h2h	Jiri Lehecka	1.35	74.1%	04 Oct 06:01
Pinnacle sharp	h2h	Adolfo Daniel Vallejo	3.46	28.9%	04 Oct 06:01
Pinnacle sharp	h2h	Jiri Lehecka	1.36	73.5%	04 Oct 06:01
PMU (FR)	h2h	Adolfo Daniel Vallejo	3.10	32.3%	04 Oct 06:01
PMU (FR)	h2h	Jiri Lehecka	1.29	77.5%	04 Oct 06:01
SportyBet	1X2	away	3.25	30.8%	04 Oct 06:15
SportyBet	1X2	home	1.37	73.0%	04 Oct 06:15
Tipico	h2h	Adolfo Daniel Vallejo	3.20	31.2%	04 Oct 06:01
Tipico	h2h	Jiri Lehecka	1.30	76.9%	04 Oct 06:01
Unibet (FR)	h2h	Adolfo Daniel Vallejo	2.95	33.9%	04 Oct 06:01
Unibet (FR)	h2h	Jiri Lehecka	1.31	76.3%	04 Oct 06:01
Unibet (NL)	h2h	Adolfo Daniel Vallejo	3.25	30.8%	04 Oct 06:01
Unibet (NL)	h2h	Jiri Lehecka	1.34	74.6%	04 Oct 06:01
Unibet (SE)	h2h	Adolfo Daniel Vallejo	3.25	30.8%	04 Oct 06:01
Unibet (SE)	h2h	Jiri Lehecka	1.34	74.6%	04 Oct 06:01
William Hill	h2h	Adolfo Daniel Vallejo	3.10	32.3%	04 Oct 06:01
William Hill	h2h	Jiri Lehecka	1.36	73.5%	04 Oct 06:01
Winamax (DE)	h2h	Adolfo Daniel Vallejo	3.40	29.4%	04 Oct 06:01
Winamax (DE)	h2h	Jiri Lehecka	1.35	74.1%	04 Oct 06:01
Winamax (FR)	h2h	Adolfo Daniel Vallejo	3.25	30.8%	04 Oct 06:01
Winamax (FR)	h2h	Jiri Lehecka	1.34	74.6%	04 Oct 06:01

Generated 2026-10-30 15:55 UTC