| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 52.4% | 52% | +0.2% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 54.0% | 46.0% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 48.9% | 51.0% |
| logistic | 49.9% | 50.1% |
| Filippo Romano | Filip Cristian Jianu | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1475 | 1468 |
| Surface Elo | 1475 | 1468 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.60 | 0.67 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 7 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 19 Oct | H | Michele Ribecai | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Sandro Kopp | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Matthew William Donald | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Yanaki Milev | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Filip Cristian Jianu | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Filippo Romano | 0 - 2 | L |
| 13 Oct | A | Federico Iannaccone | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Zdenek Kolar | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Federico Iannaccone | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct | A | Duje Ajdukovic | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct 2026 | Filip Cristian Jianu | 0 - 2 | Filippo Romano |
| 20 Apr 2026 | Filip Cristian Jianu | 2 - 0 | Filippo Romano |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.80 | 55.6% | 20 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.94 | 51.5% | 20 Oct 06:15 |