| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 51.7% | 61% | -8.9% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 48.9% | 51.1% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 45.8% | 54.2% |
| logistic | 53.2% | 46.8% |
| Matisse Bobichon | Sergio Callejon Hernando | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1583 | 1545 |
| Surface Elo | 1583 | 1545 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 10 Oct | A | Alejandro Garcia Carbajal | 2 - 0 | W |
| 09 Oct | H | Daniil Sarksian | 2 - 0 | W |
| 08 Oct | H | Leonid Sheyngezikht | 2 - 0 | W |
| 07 Oct | H | Giraldi, C | 2 - 0 | W |
| 27 Sep | H | Viktor Durasovic | 0 - 2 | L |
| 10 Oct | A | Ziga Sesko | 2 - 0 | W |
| 09 Oct | A | Diogo Marques | 2 - 0 | W |
| 08 Oct | A | Adrien Burdet | 2 - 0 | W |
| 07 Oct | A | Noah Thurner | 2 - 0 | W |
| 14 Sep | A | Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.65 | 60.6% | 11 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.12 | 47.2% | 11 Oct 06:15 |