| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 53.6% | 64% | -10.1% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 38.7% | 61.3% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 47.1% | 52.9% |
| logistic | 52.7% | 47.3% |
| Tuncay Duran | Benito Sanchez Martinez | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1521 | 1496 |
| Surface Elo | 1521 | 1496 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 2.57 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.71 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.29 | 0.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 28 Oct | H | Andrea Bacaloni | 2 - 0 | W |
| 08 Oct | A | Makhlouf, Nazim | 0 - 1 | L |
| 07 Oct | A | Liu, L | 2 - 0 | W |
| 04 Oct | A | Kris Van Wyk | 2 - 1 | W |
| 03 Oct | A | Emilien Demanet | 2 - 0 | W |
| 29 Oct | A | Larue, Louis | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Oct | H | Cesar Bouchelaghem | 2 - 0 | W |
| 06 Oct | A | Michele Ribecai | 1 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct | H | Michele Ribecai | 1 - 2 | L |
| 29 Sep | A | Gianluca Cadenasso | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.57 | 63.7% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.25 | 44.4% | 30 Oct 06:15 |