| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 44.2% | 50% | -5.9% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or away | 75.5% | 77% | -1.8% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 58.0% | 68% | -10.0% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.3% | 57% | -1.7% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 57.4% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 41.6% | 27.5% | 30.9% |
| xgboost | 24.2% | 20.4% | 55.4% |
| logistic | 29.8% | 28.9% | 41.3% |
| Eastleigh | Shrewsbury | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1390 | 1382 |
| Surface Elo | 1390 | 1382 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Form trend | -0.20 | 0.20 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 7 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 31 Oct | A | Barrow | 1 - 1 | D |
| 31 Oct | A | Barrow | 1 - 1 | D |
| 28 Oct | A | Forest Green | 0 - 2 | L |
| 28 Oct | A | Forest Green | 0 - 2 | L |
| 24 Oct | H | Boston Utd | 4 - 2 | W |
| 31 Oct | H | Gillingham | 1 - 2 | L |
| 31 Oct | H | Gillingham | 1 - 2 | L |
| 27 Oct | H | Everton | 2 - 1 | W |
| 24 Oct | A | Rotherham | 3 - 3 | D |
| 24 Oct | A | Rotherham | 3 - 3 | D |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.94 | 51.5% | 07 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.70 | 27.0% | 07 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.80 | 26.3% | 07 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.73 | 57.8% | 07 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.10 | 47.6% | 07 Nov 06:15 |