| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 59.1% | 65% | -5.9% | abandoned |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 38.5% | 61.5% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 40.7% | 59.2% |
| logistic | 48.4% | 51.6% |
| Federico Arnaboldi | Svyatoslav Gulin | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1478 | 1486 |
| Surface Elo | 1478 | 1486 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.33 | 1.33 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 0.33 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W 路 0 D |
| 28 Sep | H | Massimo Giunta | 0 - 2 | L |
| 27 Sep | H | Federico Iannaccone | 2 - 1 | W |
| 23 Sep | A | Marvin Moeller | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | H | Florian Broska | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | H | Marvin Moeller | 0 - 2 | L |
| 27 Sep | A | Alvarez Valdes, Luis Carlos | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | A | Pavel Lagutin | 0 - 1 | L |
| 20 Sep | A | Ryo Tabata | 2 - 0 | W |
| 07 Sep | A | Lukas Neumayer | 0 - 2 | L |
| 24 Aug | A | Martin Krumich | 1 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.54 | 64.9% | 28 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.40 | 41.7% | 28 Sep 06:15 |