| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 64.7% | 77% | -11.9% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or draw | 87.8% | 96% | -8.2% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 84.4% | 93% | -9.0% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 63.0% | 61% | +2.0% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 49.7% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 59.7% | 23.6% | 16.7% |
| xgboost | 83.1% | 8.5% | 8.4% |
| logistic | 70.3% | 19.5% | 10.2% |
| Hamilton | East Fife | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1599 | 1373 |
| Surface Elo | 1599 | 1373 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 3.00 | 0.40 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 0.25 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.75 | 0.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.75 | 2.25 |
| Rest days | 6 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 1 W · 2 D |
| 17 Oct | A | Airdrieonians FC | 2 - 1 | W |
| 17 Oct | A | Airdrie Utd | 2 - 1 | W |
| 10 Oct | A | Alloa | 3 - 0 | W |
| 10 Oct | A | Alloa | 3 - 0 | W |
| 03 Oct | H | Peterhead | 2 - 1 | W |
| 17 Oct | H | Alloa | 0 - 3 | L |
| 17 Oct | H | Alloa | 0 - 3 | L |
| 10 Oct | A | Cove Rangers | 1 - 1 | D |
| 10 Oct | A | Cove Rangers | 1 - 1 | D |
| 03 Oct | H | East Kilbride | 0 - 3 | L |
| 22 Aug 2026 | East Fife | 0 - 0 | Hamilton |
| 07 Mar 2026 | East Fife | 0 - 3 | Hamilton |
| 17 Feb 2026 | Hamilton | 1 - 0 | East Fife |
| 01 Nov 2025 | East Fife | 1 - 1 | Hamilton |
| 16 Aug 2025 | Hamilton | 1 - 2 | East Fife |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 8.20 | 12.2% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 5.20 | 19.2% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.31 | 76.3% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.65 | 60.6% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.15 | 46.5% | 23 Oct 06:15 |