| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 71.5% | 78% | -6.7% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 37.8% | 62.2% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 17.6% | 82.3% |
| logistic | 40.3% | 59.7% |
| Eduardo Ribeiro | Juan Carlos Prado Angelo | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1527 | 1650 |
| Surface Elo | 1527 | 1650 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.71 | 1.88 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.25 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 0.63 |
| Rest days | 4 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 12 Oct | H | Juan Carlos Prado Angelo | 0 - 2 | L |
| 09 Oct | H | Lautaro Midon | 0 - 2 | L |
| 08 Oct | A | Gustavo Heide | 2 - 1 | W |
| 06 Oct | A | Samuel Heredia | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct | H | Lautaro Midon | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Franco Roncadelli | 1 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Eduardo Ribeiro | 2 - 0 | W |
| 10 Oct | H | Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva | 0 - 2 | L |
| 09 Oct | H | Miguel Tobon | 2 - 0 | W |
| 08 Oct | H | Pedro Boscardin Dias | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct 2026 | Eduardo Ribeiro | 0 - 2 | Juan Carlos Prado Angelo |
| 01 Apr 2024 | Eduardo Ribeiro | 0 - 2 | Juan Carlos Prado Angelo |
| 18 Sep 2023 | Eduardo Ribeiro | 2 - 0 | Juan Carlos Prado Angelo |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.25 | 80.0% | 13 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.70 | 27.0% | 13 Oct 06:15 |