| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 60.9% | 49% | +11.7% |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| ensemble | 60.9% | 39.1% |
| Denver Broncos | Kansas City Chiefs | |
|---|---|---|
| playoff | 0.00 | |
| elo diff | 0.12 | |
| form diff | 0.00 | |
| rest diff | 0.03 | |
| home field | 1.00 | |
| point diff | -0.28 | |
| opponent strength diff | 0.09 | |
| Information cutoff (UTC) | 2026-10-30T14:22:20.404751+00:00 | |
| 25 Oct | A | Arizona Cardinals | 30 - 16 | W |
| 16 Oct | H | Seattle Seahawks | 17 - 14 | W |
| 11 Oct | A | Los Angeles Chargers | 23 - 17 | W |
| 04 Oct | A | San Francisco 49ers | 14 - 24 | L |
| 28 Sep | H | Los Angeles Rams | 30 - 26 | W |
| 26 Oct | A | Seattle Seahawks | 3 - 20 | L |
| 18 Oct | H | Los Angeles Chargers | 22 - 6 | W |
| 04 Oct | A | Las Vegas Raiders | 30 - 27 | W |
| 27 Sep | A | Miami Dolphins | 24 - 10 | W |
| 21 Sep | H | Indianapolis Colts | 33 - 30 | W |
| 15 Sep 2026 | Kansas City Chiefs | 31 - 10 | Denver Broncos |
| 26 Dec 2025 | Kansas City Chiefs | 13 - 20 | Denver Broncos |
| 16 Nov 2025 | Denver Broncos | 22 - 19 | Kansas City Chiefs |
| 05 Jan 2025 | Denver Broncos | 38 - 0 | Kansas City Chiefs |
| 10 Nov 2024 | Kansas City Chiefs | 16 - 14 | Denver Broncos |
| 29 Oct 2023 | Denver Broncos | 24 - 9 | Kansas City Chiefs |
| 13 Oct 2023 | Kansas City Chiefs | 19 - 8 | Denver Broncos |
| 01 Jan 2023 | Kansas City Chiefs | 27 - 24 | Denver Broncos |
| 11 Dec 2022 | Denver Broncos | 28 - 34 | Kansas City Chiefs |
| 08 Jan 2022 | Denver Broncos | 24 - 28 | Kansas City Chiefs |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle sharp | 1X2 | home | 2.03 | 49.3% | 30 Oct 12:20 |
| Pinnacle sharp | 1X2 | away | 1.87 | 53.5% | 30 Oct 12:20 |