OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-06
⚽ England EFL Trophy · Tuesday 06 October 2026, 18:00 UTC · finished
Sheffield Weds 2.20 2 - 0 0.80 Sunderland
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Away win 52.5%17%+35.8%✗ miss
DCDraw or away 77.1%35%+41.6%✗ miss
DNBAway (DNB) 68.0%20%+47.8%✗ miss
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 65.3%75%-9.9%✗ miss
BTTSBTTS yes 60.1%no line✗ miss
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson24.1%27.9%47.9%
xgboost26.6%27.6%45.7%
logistic21.5%24.9%53.6%
Inputs the models saw
Sheffield WedsSunderland
Elo (pre-match)14041684
Surface Elo14041684
Form, last 5 (PPG)2.200.80
Form trend0.600.30
Season points per game3.001.00
Season goals for / game2.003.00
Season goals against / game1.003.00
Rest days1716
Head-to-head (last 10)3 W4 W · 1 D
Sheffield Weds: last 5
22 SepASalford2 - 1W
19 SepHStockport0 - 0D
19 SepHStockport0 - 0D
12 SepHWigan0 - 0D
05 SepAPeterboro2 - 1W
Sunderland: last 5
22 SepAAccrington3 - 3D
20 SepAManchester City3 - 5L
12 SepHArsenal0 - 2L
05 SepABrentford1 - 1D
30 AugHFulham1 - 0W
Head to head
28 Feb 2025Sheffield Weds1 - 2Sunderland
18 Aug 2024Sunderland4 - 0Sheffield Weds
04 May 2024Sunderland0 - 2Sheffield Weds
29 Sep 2023Sheffield Weds0 - 3Sunderland
30 Dec 2021Sunderland5 - 0Sheffield Weds
02 Nov 2021Sheffield Weds3 - 0Sunderland
02 Apr 2018Sunderland1 - 3Sheffield Weds
16 Aug 2017Sheffield Weds1 - 1Sunderland
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away5.8017.2%06 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw5.2519.1%06 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home1.4170.9%06 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.3474.6%06 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under3.2031.2%06 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 19:20 UTC