| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 64.6% | 87% | -22.3% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 30.0% | 70.0% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 24.7% | 75.2% |
| logistic | 46.2% | 53.8% |
| Matisse Bobichon | Otto Virtanen | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1611 | 1664 |
| Surface Elo | 1611 | 1664 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.88 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.25 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 27 Oct | H | Michael Geerts | 2 - 0 | W |
| 26 Oct | A | Lucas Poullain | 2 - 1 | W |
| 25 Oct | H | Yannik Kelm | 2 - 1 | W |
| 15 Oct | A | Felix Balshaw | 0 - 2 | L |
| 14 Oct | H | Billy Harris | 2 - 0 | W |
| 26 Oct | A | Matteo Martineau | 2 - 0 | W |
| 18 Oct | H | Vitaliy Sachko | 0 - 2 | L |
| 15 Oct | A | Dominic Stricker | 1 - 2 | L |
| 14 Oct | A | Remy Bertola | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Dominic Stricker | 1 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.15 | 87.0% | 28 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 4.95 | 20.2% | 28 Oct 06:15 |