| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 63.8% | 50% | +14.3% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 45.1% | 54.9% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 25.5% | 74.4% |
| logistic | 42.6% | 57.4% |
| Gerard Campana Lee | Ivan Gakhov | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1488 | 1547 |
| Surface Elo | 1488 | 1547 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | -0.90 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 25 Sep | A | Lorenzo Giustino | 2 - 0 | W |
| 24 Sep | A | Alejandro Garcia Carbajal | 2 - 1 | W |
| 16 Sep | H | Felix Gill | 0 - 2 | L |
| 14 Sep | A | Felix Gill | 0 - 2 | L |
| 14 Sep | A | Carlos Taberner | 2 - 1 | W |
| 25 Sep | H | Ignacio Parisca | 2 - 0 | W |
| 24 Sep | H | Oscar Jose Gutierrez | 2 - 0 | W |
| 23 Sep | H | Palomar, Xavi | 2 - 0 | W |
| 15 Sep | H | Zdenek Kolar | 1 - 2 | L |
| 14 Sep | H | Zdenek Kolar | 1 - 2 | L |
| 29 Jan 2024 | Gerard Campana Lee | 0 - 2 | Ivan Gakhov |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.02 | 49.5% | 26 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.71 | 58.5% | 26 Sep 06:15 |