| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No prediction run for this match yet. | |||||
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| – | |||
| Sp Lisbon | Arouca | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1855 | 1553 |
| Surface Elo | 1855 | 1553 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.60 | 1.40 |
| Form trend | 0.40 | 0.50 |
| Season points per game | 2.33 | 1.67 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.50 | 1.33 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 0.83 |
| Rest days | 5 | 6 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 7 W | 1 W · 2 D |
| 13 Sep | A | Famalicao | 1 - 1 | D |
| 05 Sep | H | Nacional | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Aug | A | Rio Ave | 4 - 0 | W |
| 22 Aug | H | Alverca | 3 - 1 | W |
| 14 Aug | H | Guimaraes | 3 - 2 | W |
| 13 Sep | H | Santa Clara | 1 - 2 | L |
| 07 Sep | A | Estoril | 0 - 0 | D |
| 29 Aug | H | Maritimo | 2 - 1 | W |
| 23 Aug | A | Porto | 0 - 2 | L |
| 16 Aug | H | Moreirense | 4 - 0 | W |
| 24 Jan 2026 | Arouca | 1 - 2 | Sp Lisbon |
| 17 Aug 2025 | Sp Lisbon | 6 - 0 | Arouca |
| 15 Feb 2025 | Sp Lisbon | 2 - 2 | Arouca |
| 13 Sep 2024 | Arouca | 0 - 3 | Sp Lisbon |
| 10 Mar 2024 | Arouca | 0 - 3 | Sp Lisbon |
| 08 Oct 2023 | Sp Lisbon | 2 - 1 | Arouca |
| 16 Apr 2023 | Sp Lisbon | 1 - 1 | Arouca |
| 29 Oct 2022 | Arouca | 1 - 0 | Sp Lisbon |
| 05 Mar 2022 | Sp Lisbon | 2 - 0 | Arouca |
| 02 Oct 2021 | Arouca | 1 - 2 | Sp Lisbon |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 13.00 | 7.7% | 19 Sep 20:30 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 8.00 | 12.5% | 19 Sep 20:30 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 1.13 | 88.5% | 19 Sep 20:30 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.36 | 73.5% | 19 Sep 20:30 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 3.10 | 32.3% | 19 Sep 20:30 |