| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 44.0% | 43% | +1.0% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or away | 75.1% | 76% | -1.3% | ✗ miss |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 55.2% | 60% | -4.9% | void |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 53.9% | 58% | -3.9% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 48.5% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 45.4% | 26.5% | 28.1% |
| xgboost | 38.0% | 26.6% | 35.4% |
| logistic | 33.5% | 29.1% | 37.4% |
| Rotherham | Shrewsbury | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1353 | 1401 |
| Surface Elo | 1353 | 1401 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.40 | 2.00 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.40 |
| Season points per game | 0.92 | 1.42 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.17 | 1.08 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.67 | 1.42 |
| Rest days | 3 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 3 W · 3 D |
| 20 Oct | H | Newport County | 2 - 2 | D |
| 20 Oct | H | Newport County | 2 - 2 | D |
| 17 Oct | A | Fleetwood Town | 0 - 2 | L |
| 17 Oct | A | Fleetwood Town | 0 - 2 | L |
| 10 Oct | H | Gillingham | 1 - 4 | L |
| 20 Oct | A | Crawley Town | 3 - 2 | W |
| 20 Oct | A | Crawley Town | 3 - 2 | W |
| 17 Oct | H | Bristol Rovers | 1 - 0 | W |
| 17 Oct | H | Bristol Rvs | 1 - 0 | W |
| 10 Oct | H | Exeter | 0 - 1 | L |
| 08 Feb 2025 | Rotherham | 1 - 2 | Shrewsbury |
| 28 Sep 2024 | Shrewsbury | 1 - 1 | Rotherham |
| 19 Mar 2022 | Rotherham | 0 - 3 | Shrewsbury |
| 01 Mar 2022 | Shrewsbury | 0 - 0 | Rotherham |
| 26 Dec 2019 | Shrewsbury | 1 - 2 | Rotherham |
| 21 Sep 2019 | Rotherham | 0 - 0 | Shrewsbury |
| 17 Feb 2018 | Shrewsbury | 0 - 1 | Rotherham |
| 18 Nov 2017 | Rotherham | 1 - 2 | Shrewsbury |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 2.85 | 35.1% | 24 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 3.20 | 31.2% | 24 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 2.32 | 43.1% | 24 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 2.10 | 47.6% | 24 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.70 | 58.8% | 24 Oct 15:00 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.00 | 33.3% | 24 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.33 | 30.0% | 24 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.35 | 42.5% | 24 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 2.05 | 48.8% | 24 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.73 | 57.8% | 24 Oct 06:15 |