| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 85.0% | 95% | -10.2% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 96.0% | 4.0% |
| logistic | 88.5% | 11.5% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Malaika Rapolu | Victoria Rodriguez | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1599 | 1478 |
| Surface Elo | 1599 | 1478 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 3.00 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 2.36 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.71 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.57 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 1 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 06 Nov | A | Johnson, Sofia | 2 - 1 | W |
| 05 Nov | A | Ingrid Carolina Millan Acosta | 2 - 1 | W |
| 03 Nov | A | Julia Garcia Ruiz | 2 - 0 | W |
| 31 Oct | H | Anastasia Tikhonova | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Oct | A | Cadence Brace | 2 - 0 | W |
| 06 Nov | A | Pawlikowska, Zuzanna | 2 - 0 | W |
| 04 Nov | H | Midori Castillo | 2 - 1 | W |
| 27 Oct | H | Alicia Herrero Linana | 0 - 2 | L |
| 26 Oct | H | Maria Fernanda Herazo Gonzalez | 2 - 1 | W |
| 13 Oct | A | Ma, C | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 8.00 | 12.5% | 07 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.05 | 95.2% | 07 Nov 06:15 |