| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 63.3% | 71% | -8.0% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 43.8% | 56.2% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 30.4% | 69.5% |
| logistic | 41.8% | 58.2% |
| Philip Henning | Tristan Schoolkate | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1524 | 1620 |
| Surface Elo | 1524 | 1620 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.90 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.80 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.40 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 3 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 28 Sep | H | Tristan Schoolkate | 0 - 2 | L |
| 26 Sep | A | Alec Deckers | 0 - 2 | L |
| 25 Sep | A | Robin Bertrand | 2 - 0 | W |
| 03 Aug | A | Maks Kasnikowski | 0 - 2 | L |
| 27 Jul | A | Martin Krumich | 1 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | A | Harold Mayot | 1 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | A | Philip Henning | 2 - 0 | W |
| 22 Sep | A | Matteo Martineau | 1 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | A | Matteo Martineau | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Sep | H | Harold Mayot | 0 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep 2026 | Philip Henning | 0 - 2 | Tristan Schoolkate |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.40 | 71.4% | 30 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.85 | 35.1% | 30 Sep 06:15 |