| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 57.7% | 62% | -4.4% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 41.0% | 59.0% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 43.8% | 56.1% |
| logistic | 39.9% | 60.1% |
| Braden Shick | Max Hans Rehberg | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1506 | 1626 |
| Surface Elo | 1506 | 1626 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.90 |
| Season points per game | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.40 |
| Rest days | 6 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 20 Oct | H | Gabriel Debru | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | H | Gabriel Debru | 1 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | H | Mees Rottgering | 0 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | H | Ozan Baris | 2 - 1 | W |
| 28 Sep | H | Mees Rottgering | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | H | Mees Rottgering | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | H | Mees Rottgering | 0 - 2 | L |
| 08 Oct | H | Hynek Barton | 1 - 2 | L |
| 07 Oct | A | Edas Butvilas | 2 - 1 | W |
| 05 Oct | H | Mili Poljicak | 2 - 1 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.61 | 62.1% | 27 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.20 | 45.5% | 27 Oct 06:15 |