| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 50.7% | 64% | -13.0% |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 48.6% | 51.3% |
| logistic | 51.2% | 48.8% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Ignacio Monzon | Nicolas Bruna | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1417 | 1411 |
| Surface Elo | 1417 | 1411 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Rest days | 1 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W 路 0 D |
| 29 Oct | H | Rocco Valente | 2 - 1 | W |
| 28 Oct | H | Garcia Finetto, Rafael Augusto | 2 - 1 | W |
| 22 Oct | A | Lorenzo Gagliardo | 0 - 2 | L |
| 20 Oct | A | Gabriel Schenekenberg | 2 - 1 | W |
| 13 Oct | A | Rafael Tosetto | 1 - 2 | L |
| 27 Oct | A | Klok, D | 2 - 0 | W |
| 22 Oct | H | Tomas Farjat | 1 - 2 | L |
| 21 Oct | H | Scramin do Lago, Joao Vitor | 2 - 0 | W |
| 16 Oct | A | Pedro Sakamoto | 0 - 2 | L |
| 15 Oct | H | Gabriel Schenekenberg | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.25 | 44.4% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.57 | 63.7% | 30 Oct 06:15 |