| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win selected | 60.4% | 56% | +4.7% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 52.1% | 47.9% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 64.0% | 35.9% |
| logistic | 55.4% | 44.6% |
| Abdullah Shelbayh | Andres Andrade | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1554 | 1574 |
| Surface Elo | 1554 | 1574 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | 0.90 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 4 | 303 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 21 Sep | H | Andy Andrade | 1 - 2 | L |
| 18 Sep | H | Michael Mmoh | 0 - 2 | L |
| 16 Sep | A | Tristan Boyer | 2 - 0 | W |
| 14 Sep | H | Michael Mmoh | 0 - 2 | L |
| 14 Sep | H | Tristan Boyer | 2 - 0 | W |
| 24 Nov | H | Lautaro Midon | 0 - 2 | L |
| 17 Nov | H | Federico Agustin Gomez | 1 - 2 | L |
| 17 Nov | H | David Jorda Sanchis | 2 - 1 | W |
| 17 Nov | H | Adolfo Daniel Vallejo | 2 - 1 | W |
| 17 Nov | H | Sebastian Gima | 2 - 0 | W |
| 10 Feb 2025 | Abdullah Shelbayh | 2 - 1 | Andres Andrade |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.15 | 46.5% | 23 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.66 | 60.2% | 23 Sep 06:15 |