| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 58.6% | 63% | -4.7% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 39.2% | 60.8% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 41.2% | 58.7% |
| logistic | 43.1% | 56.9% |
| Adrian Andreev | Matteo Martineau | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1571 | 1619 |
| Surface Elo | 1571 | 1619 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 2.25 | 1.93 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.43 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.63 | 0.86 |
| Rest days | 2 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 03 Nov | A | Massimo Giunta | 2 - 1 | W |
| 01 Nov | A | Andrea Colombo | 2 - 0 | W |
| 18 Oct | A | Izan Almazan Valiente | 1 - 2 | L |
| 26 Sep | H | Jonas Forejtek | 1 - 2 | L |
| 25 Sep | H | Izan Almazan Valiente | 1 - 0 | W |
| 03 Nov | H | Inaki Montes De La Torre | 2 - 0 | W |
| 26 Oct | H | Otto Virtanen | 0 - 2 | L |
| 26 Oct | H | Otto Virtanen | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Oct | A | Thijs Boogaard | 1 - 2 | L |
| 18 Oct | H | Mika Brunold | 1 - 2 | L |
| 16 Aug 2021 | Adrian Andreev | 0 - 2 | Matteo Martineau |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.58 | 63.3% | 05 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.30 | 43.5% | 05 Nov 06:15 |