| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 58.0% | 74% | -16.1% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or away | 79.5% | 87% | -7.5% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 73.3% | 89% | -16.1% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 67.3% | 66% | +0.8% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 53.4% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 18.6% | 21.2% | 60.2% |
| xgboost | 30.3% | 20.9% | 48.9% |
| logistic | 14.0% | 20.3% | 65.7% |
| Oxford City | Leicester | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1294 | 1495 |
| Surface Elo | 1294 | 1495 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 3.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 930 | 6 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 31 Oct | H | South Shields | 1 - 3 | L |
| 27 Oct | H | Merthyr Town | 3 - 0 | W |
| 24 Oct | A | Marine FC | 1 - 1 | D |
| 17 Oct | A | Torquay | 1 - 0 | W |
| 10 Oct | A | Hebburn Town | 3 - 0 | W |
| 03 Nov | A | Boston Utd | 0 - 1 | L |
| 31 Oct | H | Stevenage | 2 - 2 | D |
| 31 Oct | H | Stevenage | 2 - 2 | D |
| 27 Oct | H | Wigan | 3 - 0 | W |
| 27 Oct | H | Wigan | 3 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.36 | 73.5% | 06 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 5.50 | 18.2% | 06 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 7.60 | 13.2% | 06 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.51 | 66.2% | 06 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.55 | 39.2% | 06 Nov 06:15 |