| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 78.7% | 83% | -3.9% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 73.7% | 26.3% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 82.0% | 18.0% |
| logistic | 86.9% | 13.1% |
| Clement Chidekh | Stefan Kozlov | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1838 | 1541 |
| Surface Elo | 1838 | 1541 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 2.45 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.64 | 1.25 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.55 | 1.13 |
| Rest days | 3 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 06 Nov | A | Marcos Giron | 2 - 0 | W |
| 04 Nov | A | Jack Kennedy | 2 - 0 | W |
| 03 Nov | A | Andres Santamarta Roig | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Nov | H | Stefan Kozlov | 1 - 2 | L |
| 02 Nov | H | Marcos Giron | 2 - 0 | W |
| 06 Nov | H | Braden Shick | 2 - 0 | W |
| 04 Nov | A | Murphy Cassone | 2 - 0 | W |
| 03 Nov | H | Andres Martin | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Nov | A | Aidan Mayo | 2 - 1 | W |
| 02 Nov | A | Clement Chidekh | 2 - 1 | W |
| 02 Nov 2026 | Clement Chidekh | 1 - 2 | Stefan Kozlov |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 4.15 | 24.1% | 07 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.21 | 82.6% | 07 Nov 06:15 |