| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 57.1% | 70% | -13.4% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 56.1% | 43.9% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 49.7% | 50.2% |
| logistic | 59.4% | 40.6% |
| Clement Chidekh | Ugo Blanchet | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1680 | 1565 |
| Surface Elo | 1680 | 1565 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 2.25 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 0.75 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.50 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 29 Sep | H | David Goffin | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Sep | H | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Sep | H | Henry Bernet | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Sep | H | Harold Mayot | 2 - 1 | W |
| 28 Sep | H | Ugo Blanchet | 2 - 1 | W |
| 29 Sep | A | Viktor Durasovic | 1 - 0 | W |
| 28 Sep | A | Clement Chidekh | 1 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | H | Viktor Durasovic | 2 - 0 | W |
| 23 Sep | A | Daniil Glinka | 1 - 2 | L |
| 22 Sep | H | Nicolas Mejia | 1 - 0 | W |
| 28 Sep 2026 | Clement Chidekh | 2 - 1 | Ugo Blanchet |
| 02 Mar 2026 | Clement Chidekh | 0 - 2 | Ugo Blanchet |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.90 | 34.5% | 01 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.38 | 72.5% | 01 Oct 06:15 |